Members

Hi, well there’s certainly plenty to crow about over the last seven days. Firstly, it was a top weekend for the Saturday TV tips with ALL three of our main Sandown selections doing the business last week. Menorah (5/1) was first up as this Philip Hobbs-trained horse took that Sandown race for the third year on the spin, and, wow, what a price – all thanks to Willie Mullins who sent his Valseur Lido which helped inflate the price of our fancy.

Next up was Sprinter Sacre as Nicky Henderson’s charge put the new kid on the block – Un De Sceaux – firmly in his place again with another easy win in the Celebration Chase. He’ll be 11 years-old next season, but providing connections can keep him out of trouble then he’s surely the one they all have to beat in all the big 2m chase races again next season – don’t forget Moscow Flyer landed that Cheltenham prize at the age of 11 back in 2005!

But, arguably, the best was yet to come as we hopefully pointed you in the direction of The Young Master (8/1) – who landed the feature contest, the Bet365 Gold Cup. Neil Mulholland’s 7 year-old battled up the Sandown hill in gutsy fashion under Sam Waley-Cohen to beat last year’s winner and bank a stonking 112/1 treble for the main races covered last week…………..Oh, and we also fired in another 8/1 winner at Ripon with the other TV race picks.

Ok, so enough of the ‘trumpet blowing’ now and onto this week. With the end of the UK jumps season the attention turns to the flat and this weekend’s Newmarket Guineas Meeting is considered by many to be the ‘real’ start of the new turf campaign.

We’ve got the first two of the five English Classics on Saturday and Sunday as some of the best and most promising 3 year-old colts and fillies line-up for the 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas at HQ. Top Irish trainer, Aidan O’Brien has his normal stranglehold on both races, with the favourite for both contests with Air Force Blue and Minding – it will be a huge shock if at least one doesn’t go in – if not both.

We’ve got both Classic races covered below, plus the ‘best of the rest’ from Newmarket, while if you’ve still to get your TRAINERS-QUOTES.com FREE TRIAL then you are missing out! Why? – well members were rewarded with a stonking 50/1 return in midweek as William Muir pointed us in the direction of a horse of his that has been working well at home.

Here’s what William told us!
“Loveisreckless – Has been working very well at home and with the right horses too. Has a bit of character about her so hard to know how that will translate to the track after a break, but at a big price I would not be surprised to see her run well (first time blinkers on today).”
William Muir 27/04/16 3rd 50/1

We think you’ll agree this is ‘gold-dust’ info that is simply too good to miss. You can get your FREE TRIAL, and tap into top daily info from 21 leading yards, below.

Have a good weekend – and enjoy the racing!

It’s Guineas Weekend At Newmarket
2.00 – championsofracing.co.uk Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4
11/11 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
11/11 – Had won at least twice before
11/11 – Had won over at least a mile before
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
9/11 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
8/11 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
8/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Rated between 90 and 95
6/11 – Aged 4 years-old
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Having their first run of the season
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Came from stall 9
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

VERDICT: The Sir Michael Stoute yard won this pot in 2009 and they seem to have another great chance with INTIMATION. This 4 year-old has a lot of the key trends, like age, recent form, weight and having won over at least a mile in the past – plus she’ll also have top Irish jockey Pat Smullen doing the steering. She has her first run of the new season here, but we are not concerned about that with the Stoute team having made a decent start to the new season. Of the others, previous course winner, Emerald, is another to note and will be a lot fitter than most after two outings already this month.

2.30 – Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f CH4
12/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Won 3 or more times before
11/13 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/13 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Had run at Newmarket before
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Rated between 108 and 114
9/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Aged 5 years-old
2/13 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Sole Power has won this in 2013 and 2014
Just 1 placed horse from stall 1 in the last 9 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1

VERDICT: Top speedball, Sole Power, won this pot in 2013 and 2014 so is certainly one to note, especially with top jockey, Ryan Moore, in the saddle. However, at 9 years-old he’s not getting any younger and might not quite be the force of old. With 10 of the last 13 winners having been placed 1st or 2nd last time out, and with 9 of the last 13 rated between 108 and 114 then only a three fit the bill on those two key stats. Lancealot Du Lac, Take Cover and COTAI GLORY, with preference for the last-named. This 4 year-old still has plenty of time on his side and with just 11 career runs then there should be more to come this term. He ended last season with a top Listed win at Doncaster, but is a previous Group Three winner too, and also wasn’t beaten far in the Group Two King George Stakes at Goodwood last July. Lancelot Du Luc, who has been running well on the AW recently rates the next best at a nice e/w price.

3.05 – Dunaden At Overbury Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f CH4
13/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
11/13 – Won over 1m4f before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
9/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Rated 112 or higher
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Had won a Group race before
6/13 – Aged 5 years-old
6/13 – Having their first run of the season
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
4/13 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/13 – Won by Mark Johnston
2/13 – Trained by Andre Fabre
Second Step won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3
VERDICT: Last season’s St Leger heroine, Simple Verse, will be popular here, but it could be she wants a bit further than this 1m4f trip these days, while on official ratings she’s got 7lbs to find with the hot favourite – JACK HOBBS. She’s also got to give away 2lbs in weight to that horse so really Jack Hobbs is 9lbs well-in, and based on that last year’s Epsom Derby runner-up should take all the beating. Yes, this will be his first run since October, but he’s got a cracking record first time out (2-from-2), so there are no concerns on that front, while the drop back into Group Two company for this previous Group One winner will provide him with easier opposition too.

3.45 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m CH4
14/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/14 – Had won a Group race before
12/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Having their first run of the season
8/14 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (7 wins
5/14 – Had won over a mile before
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/14 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
3/14 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
3/14 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 11/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts
Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012 & 2015
Kieren Fallon rode the winner in 2000, 2001, 2005, 2006 & 2014
VERDICT: With seven 2,000 Guineas wins already under his belt then top Irish trainer, Aidan O’Brien, is certainly the man to follow here. He took the first of the English Classics 12 months ago with his classy Gleneagles and he looks to have another superstar in the making here with AIR FORCE BLUE. This 3 year-old’s only career blot came when second in the Covenrty Stakes last season, but he quickly put that run behind him by mopping-up three Group One’s, including the Dewhurst Stakes, over the rest of the season. 3 of the last 14 Dewhurst winners have taken this race the following season and now stepped up to a mile for the first time then there should be even more to come. The O’Brien yard are also in decent form at the moment too – with a 30% strike-rate over the last few weeks, while Ryan Moore, who will be looking for his second winner in this famous Classic, is a further positive in the saddle. Of the others, recent Craven Stakes winner, Stormy Antarctic, has proven he can handle the course, but the only horse to beat the selection – Buratino – might be the each-way value in the race if getting the trip.

3.40 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m CH4
13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won a Group race before
11/14 – Had won between 2-3 times before
10/14 – Won their previous race
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
8/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Favourites were unplaced
6/14 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
6/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
4/14 – Won by a US bred horse
4/14 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/14 – Previous Group One winners
4/14 – Irish-trained winners
3/14 – Won by the favourite
3/14 – French-trained winners
3/14 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/14 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia)
No placed horses from stall 1 in the last 8 runnings
5 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 10.4/1
1,000 Guineas Facts
Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011
Aidan O’Brien has trained two winners , Virginia Waters (1995) and Homecoming Queen (2012)

VERDICT: The powerful Aidan O’Brien camp don’t quite have the same dominate record in this race as they do in the 2,000 Guineas with just two past wins. The last of those came in 2012, but they will be trying to add another here with leading fancy – MINDING. This classy filly rounded-off last season with an very eye-catching win in the Group One Dubai Fillies’ Mile over this course and distance, and on that form looks a big player. She’s proven over the trip and, more importantly, the track, while being out of Galileo there should be even more to come if stepped up again in trip later in the season – she’s currently around 3/1 for the Epsom Oaks (3rd June) – a price that will surely disappear without trace should she land this. Of the others, last season’s Cheveley Park Stakes winner, Lumiere, looked a classy sort last terms and has been well supported as an alternative to the favourite all winter. She’s another with course-winning form here, but whereas Minding as won over a mile before, there are big questions about this horse staying this trip with all her career runs coming over 6f. Nathra won the Nell Gwyn Stakes here a few weeks ago and looks sure to play a part too, but don’t forget the selection trounced this horse by 4 ½ lengths here last October so should have her measure again.
Best Bets – Other Saturday TV Races

GOODWOOD
2.15 – MISS MARJURIE (e/w)
2.50 – CZECH IT OUT (e/w)