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Jun 09 2021 @ 19:40
Mathematician posted an update 2 years, 10 months ago
Saturday
York 2.35
9/2 Oo de Lally 13/2 King’s Knight 15/2 Dazzling Dan
8/1 Azano 9/1 Qaysar 9/1 Manigordo 10/1 Gifted Ruler
12/1 Baashir 12/1 Admirality 14/1 Queen’s Sargent
14/1 Ebury 14/1 National League 14/1 Broken Spear
14/1 Flying Pursuit 20/1 Golden Apollo 20/1 Ostilio
25/1 Tadleel 25/1 Troubador7f Handicap
Got my eye on this race
Need to see decs and draw
Before we know what we have5 Past renewals
35 Similar races elsewhere
OO DE LALLY is a 3yo
He is going to be hard to judge
I would rather he does not run
And if he does gets a bad drawStats are inconclusive
Similar races show
Horses aged 3
Over 3 career starts
Absent over 14 days
Have a 0-11 record in themCurrently see him
On the negative side of neutralSimilar races show
Horses aged 8 or more are 0-43
FLYING PURSUIT rejected aged 8There are certain horses
Who have raced once this year
That look underraced in them
GOLDEN APPOLO is one
TROUBADOUR is anotherGIFTED RULER is off too long
Horses from 6f races struggle
In all similar races in June
Horses from 6f are 2-95
Those with over 11 runs are 0-65
ADMIRALITY fails this 0-65 angle
MANIGORDO fails this 0-65 statisticOSTILLO has too long a break
TADLEEL ran too badly last timeNATIONAL LEAGUE is a 4yo
Quite exposed for 38 days off
And lots to prove off this ratingHorses running within 10 days
Need to not be beaten too far
None aged 5 or more
Were beaten over 4 lengths
EBURY didn’t do enough last time
BROEKN SPEAR has some flaws
Ground looks against him as wellKINGS KNIGHT has positives
Badly draw at Chester last time
One angle he does fail here
Horses aged 4
Under 10 career starts
Running within 4 weeks
Have a 0-28 record so
They have won in May and June
Currently open minded about himBAASHIR fails the same angle
Just 6 career runs and 14 days off
He is on the inexperienced sideDAZZLING DAN is an exposed 5yo
Not been out for 4 weeks now
Found similar winner 14 years ago
This may not be his preferred tripQUEENS SERGEATNT is exposed
Never won off his current rating
He is 0-11 in this class of race tooARZANO has to defy a mark of 101
But I’d pass his profile as fineQAYSA is a 6yo down in trip
Profile fine but rated 106 now
He might need a career bestWill know more tomorrow
When the declarations are made