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Apr 29 2014 @ 14:53
Horse Race Report posted an update 10 years ago
2000 Guineas – Group 1 (3yo)
Course – Newmarket, Distance – 1 mile
Date – May 3rd
Average field size last 10 years – 16.4Positive Trends
Favourites: 4 wins from 10.
Last time out winners: 8 of the last 10 winners won LTO.
Price: 7 of the last 10 winners have been priced 8/1 or shorter.
Price LTO: All of the last 10 winners were priced 8/1 or shorter LTO (5 were odds on).
Course LTO: 3 of the last 10 winners raced LTO at the Curragh from only 10 runners.
Career wins: 9 of the 10 winners had won at least twice in their careers.
Career win record: Horses who came into race unbeaten have provided 5 winners from just 22 qualifiers.
LTO race: All of the last 10 winners raced in Group company LTO.
Career win percentage: 9 of the last 10 winners had a career win percentage of 50% or more.
Trainers: Aidan O’Brien has won the race 4 times in the last 10 years.Negative Trends
Breeding: American breds have provided just 1 winner and 1 placed runner from 32.
Position LTO: Horses that finished 4th or worse LTO have 0 winners from 37.
Career runs: Horses that have had 6 or more career starts have provided just 1 winner from 47 for a loss of £44.62 (ROI -94.9%).Key Bullet Points – look for:
Career win percentage of 50% or more
LTO price 8/1 or shorter
2 or more career wins
Raced in Group company LTO