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Epsom Oaks

Course – Epsom
Distance – 1 mile 4 furlongs
Date – June 6th
Average field size last 10 years – 12.0

POSITIVE TRENDS

Recent win: 9 of the last 10 winners had won at least one of their last two starts.
Price: 4 of the last 7 winners were priced 20/1 or bigger.
Time off track: All of the last 10 winners had been off the track for between 16 and 35 days.
Career place percentage: 9 of the last 10 winners had a career place percentage in excess of 65%.
Position LTO: 6 out of the last 10 winners won LTO; 3 came 2nd.
Market LTO: 7 of the last 10 winners were either favourite or second favourite LTO.
Price LTO: 8 of the last 10 winners were priced 4/1 or shorter LTO.
Sires: All out of the last 10 winners were sired by a horse that won at either Group 1 or Group 2 level.
Trainers: 2 wins for Ed Dunlop, Ralph Beckett and Aidan O’Brien.

NEGATIVE TRENDS

Market: 2nd and 3rd favourites have combined to provide 0 winners from 19.
Beaten distance LTO: Horses beaten by more than 3 lengths LTO have provided 0 winners from 32.
Time off track: 0 from 17 for horses returning to the track within 2 weeks.

GENERAL STATS

Favourites (inc. joints): 3 wins from 11 for a loss of 75 pence.

Key Bullet Points – look for

Off track 16-35 days
Career place percentage of over 65%
LTO price 4/1 or shorter
Finished 1st/2nd LTO
Won at least one of last two starts
Sired by a horse that had won at either Group 1 or Group 2 level