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Jun 06 2014 @ 15:32
Horse Race Report posted an update in the group Horse Racing 9 years, 10 months ago
Epsom Derby Trends
Course – Epsom
Distance – 1 mile 4 furlongs
Date – June 7th
Average field size last 10 years – 13.6POSITIVE TRENDS
Market: The top three in the betting have provided all of the last 10 winners.
Price: All of the last 10 winners were priced 7/1 or shorter.
Draw: 9 of the last 10 winners were drawn 10 or lower.
2yo career: 9 of the last 10 winners had won at least once as a 2yo (over 7f+).
Career win percentage: All of the last 10 winners had a career win percentage of 50% or more.
Sire Stamina Index: All of the last 10 winners were by a sire with a stamina index of 8.6 or more.
Position LTO: 7 of the last 10 winners won LTO (other 3 winners were 2nd).
Course LTO: 7 of the last 10 winners ran at eiher York or Newmarket LTO.
Trainers: 2 wins a piece for Aidan O’Brien and Sir Michael Stoute.
Class LTO: 9 of the last 10 winners raced in a Group 1 or 2 race LTONEGATIVE TRENDS
Price: Horses priced 17/2 or bigger provided 0 winners from 93.
Position LTO: Horses that finished 3rd or worse LTO have provided 0 winners from 37.
Draw: Horses drawn 11 or higher have provided just 1 win from 40.
Course LTO: Horses that ran at Lingfield LTO have provided 0 winners from 18.Key Bullet Points – look for
Top three of betting
SP 7/1 or shorter
Finished 1st/2nd LTO
Career win percentage of 50% or more
Sire had a stamina index of 8.6f or more
Raced in Group 1 or Group 2 race LTO
Won over 7f+ as a 2yo