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Here’s a profitable horse racing betting angle from Nick Pullen ….

Gun-to-head – a Newmarket angle that’s up 55 points….

It’s a massive week for racing fans….

The 3-day July meeting at Newmarket gets underway on Thursday afternoon. Day 1 delivers a 6f handicap for the 3yos….

On Friday – Day 2 – the Newmarket meeting produces a 10f handicap for the 3yos as well as the bet365 Trophy over the 14f….

…. plus there’s a good 7f handicap up at York and a 5f handicap at Ascot….

On Saturday afternoon things get really crazy….

At Newmarket, the handicap features are the bet365 Mile Handicap – another one for the 3yos – and the Bunbury Cup over the 7f trip….

Up at York, we’ve got the John Smith’s Cup over the 10f trip – and there might be a decent field going to post for a mile handicap a little earlier on the card….

One thing is for certain: there’s no shortage of betting options for big-field handicap punters this week….

It’s a great week for punters. Don’t miss it…

My gun-to-head-angle….

When someone puts a gun to your head for racing information that will pay – it’s handy to have informed opinions, angles or strategies rooted in fact….

Sometimes, an angle is all facts-based….

Sometimes it is largely facts – but facts with a bit of intuitive reasoning or speculation (potentially more unreliable, of course) built in….

My angle for Newmarket is one of the former and it is this: Support horses trained by Andrew Balding in the handicaps exclusively for 3yo horses….

Balding has a fantastic record in the handicaps for 3yos run at the July meeting – a record that demands respect and makes it a matter of folly to ignore the qualifying runners he sends this time round….

His record from 2006+ at Newmarket’s July meeting in such races stands as follows….

Andrew Balding Newmarket July Meeting Record
His last 39 qualifiers produced seven winners @ 17.9%. An additional ten of those 39 horses hit the frame – which amounts to a total place strike rate of 43.5%….

Had you backed all Balding’s qualifying runners since the 2006 July meeting (to the tune of 1pt e/w to level-stakes) profits would currently stand at 55 points….

Balding has been a solid call for punters in this specific group of races. The prices about his runners have been very attractive – and performance has significantly and consistently outstripped price….

And remember: the recorded profits are to returned SPs. Chances are that in the early-morning markets, on the exchanges or betting to Betfair SP, or on the Tote, you’d be looking at a much-improved surplus….

These numbers go beyond anything that might be considered anomalous. They grow out of intention. Balding clearly aims his young handicappers at these races – and is effective at getting performances from them when he does….

If Balding has decent 3yo handicappers in his care – this July meeting at Newmarket is one he has targeted effectively with such horses in previous seasons. It’s reasonable to anticipate that this year will be no different….

Get bets in ALL the big handicaps this week….
https://sports.oxonpress.com/c/1gHqnUKu6MYtZTUf7q4nIdbw7krq