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Lockinge Stakes, Course – Newbury, Distance – 1 mile
Date – May 17th
Average field size last 10 years – 9.6

Positive Trends

Favourites: 6 wins from 10 for a profit of £5.57 (ROI +55.7%).
Market: The top 2 in the betting have provided 9 of the 10 winners.
Price: All of the last 10 winners were priced 8/1 or shorter.
Recent win: 8 of the last 10 winners had won at least once in their last two starts.
Class LTO: Horses that raced in a Group 1 or Group 2 race LTO have provided all 10 winners.
Class LTO: Horses that raced in a Group 1 LTO have provided 7 winners from 20 qualifiers for a profit of £7.17 (ROI +35.9%).
Career win Percentage: 7 of the last 10 winners had a career win percentage of 50% or more.
Career wins: All of the last 10 winners had won at least three times in their careers.
Seasonal debut: 8 of the last 10 winners were making their seasonal debut.
Market LTO: 9 of the last 10 winners came from the top three in the betting LTO.
Sex: Only 8 fillies/mares have contested the race in the last 10 years but 3 have won.
Trainers: Sir Michael Stoute, Saeed Bin Suroor and the Richard Hannon stable have all won the race twice in the last 10 years.

Negative Trends

Price: Horses priced 17/2 or bigger have provided 0 winners from 61.
Career wins: Horses with less than 3 career wins have provided 0 winners from 30.

General Trends

Age: 4 years old have won 6 races from 55 (SR 10.9%); 5 year olds have won 3 races from 21 runners (SR 14.3%); 6 year olds plus have won 1 race from 20 (SR 5%).

Key Bullet Points – look for:

Top two in the betting
Raced in Group 1 or 2 LTO (preferably Group 1)
Top three of Betting LTO
Seasonal debut
Won at least one of their last two starts
Three or more career wins

Ideally look for:

Career win percentage of 50% or more