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Morning – so that’s another month gone – where is the year going? We are now just a week away from the Grand National – we’ll be taking a look at the Merseyside Marathon next week – but before that flat racing turf fans will be licking their lips as today’s Lincoln Handicap Meeting at Doncaster is the new season curtain-raiser for what’s set to be another top seven months of flat action.

However, before we take a look at this weekend’s action – a bit of trumpet blowing as we hope you followed our advice last week with the Dubai World Cup winner, California Chrome, landing the world’s richest racing pot – what a horse! We also followed up with Our Channel winning at Kempton to give us a few nice successes on the afternoon.

This week, we’ve got the ultra-competitive Lincoln Handicap down to just four (more on that below), while we’ve also got our verdicts and the main trends for the other LIVE C4/More4 races from Town Moor.

Plus – it’s been another top week here at @trainers-quotes with bundles of winners going in – members hit the bookies hard on Wednesday with 8/1, 7/1, 6/1 and 11/4 winners going in, including a Mick Appleby double! – Ex-members (paid and free) get in touch here to discuss joining terms – you never know you might even catch us in a good mood with a special offer!

Have a good weekend – we’ll be back next week for the Grand National!

Betway Lincoln Handicap Best Bets
2.45 – Betway Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4
13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
12/13 – Had won over at least 1m before
12/13 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
11/13 – Had won between 2-4 times before
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
9/13 – Having their first run of the flat season
9/13 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
9/13 – Unplaced favourites
8/13 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
7/13 – Officially rated between 95-98
7/13 – Placed first or second last time out
7/13 – Had raced at Doncaster before
6/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
5/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/13 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
3/13 – Winning favourites
2/13 – Trained by John Quinn
2/13 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
The average winning SP in the last 13 runnings is 14/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Redcar and the 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

TQ VERDICT: With the last 13 winners of the Betway Lincoln aged 6 or younger then there are a few of the older horses like Farlow (8), Stipulate (7), Sirius Prospect (8), Ocean Tempest (7), Fire Ship (7) and Ingleby Angel (7) that we can rule out based on that trend. 12 of the last 13 winners carried 9-4 or less in weight, so that coupled with the age stats leaves us with four possible horses. The quartet left are Man Of Harlech, Storm Rock, Secret Brief and Beach Bar. They are all priced at double-figure odds so there is nothing to say we can’t hedge-bet them all – you’d still show a nice profit at those prices. 9 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 9 or higher, so if you think that stats will be repeated then of the 4 left, Man Of Harlech (stall 3) might be overlooked. Beach Bar has been running well over in Dubai in some competitive handicaps so as long as he’s travelled back ok will be a lot fitter than most, while in stall 9 the horse will have options as to which side to go. Secret Brief looks a big price considering he comes from the Godolphin yard and that William Buick rides. He’s another that’s been running at Meydan with credit and in stall 22 will be able to grab the rail early on – the boys in blue are still looking for their first winner in the race. But, for us, the main call here is STORM ROCK (e/w). This Harry Dunlop-trained 4 year-old has been placed in the top 3 in six of his 8 starts, and despite running below-par on the AW last time out is clearly worth another chance back on the turf. He’s been drawn in stall 13 so that means he’s another with options when it comes to going down either side of the track, and jockey, David Probert, is a further plus in the saddle. Of the rest, the betting suggests Lord Of The Land, Brave Zolo and Udododontu are others to consider and could go well, but at this stage don’t rate any value when looking at the betting.

Best Of The Rest at Donny

2.15 – Betway Spring Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m CH4
12/14 – Carried 8-13 or more
11/14 – Aged 4 years-old
11/14 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/14 – Finished fourth or worse last time out
10/14 – Won over a mile before
8/14 – Won from a double-figure draw
2/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Won a race at Doncaster before
0/14 – Winners from stalls 3-7 (inclusive)
Richard Fahey has trained the winner in 2010 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 15/1
Just 1 winner older than 6 in the last 14 years
Trainer William Haggas has a 33% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Tim Easterby is just 4 from 125 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Oisin Murphy has a 22% record riding older horses at the track

TQ VERDICT: The Richard Fahey yard won this race in 2010 and 2014, so they will be hoping to add to their good record with Right Touch. The horse was an eye-catching improver last season, winning his last two, but is up another 4lbs here, but the big question mark is that those wins came over 6f and 7f so has a bit more to prove over this 1m trip. Connections also take off a handy 7lbs with Adam McNamara’s claim so that helps and if staying this longer trip (yet to race over it) would be one to add to the shortlist. In terms of weight the main past stats suggest looking for horses carrying 8-13 or more in weight, while 4 year-olds have the best record of late. The Jeremy Noseda-trained Keystoke fits that age trend and being a lightly raced sort (this only his fifth career race) then there should be more to come from him. He’s won 3 of his 4 starts, including when beating a horse on the up (Supersta) last time out, while he’s also the only past course and distance winner in the line-up. The Marco Botti-trained Azraff (Ire) is another 4 year-old that catches the eyes and will have the services of Ryan Moore in the saddle so looks another big player. However, the selection here is PREDOMINANCE (Ire). This William Haggas-trained 4 year-old was a good fourth of 21 here in heavy ground last November over 7f, and before that was a decent second over a mile at Newbury. He’s had another winter on his back, while the yard boasts a decent 33% strike-rate with their older horses at the track.

3.20 – Betway Cammidge Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f More4
12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
11/12 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
11/12 – Had won no more than 5 times before
10/12 – Carried 9-2 or more in weight
10/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/12 – Returned 14/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Raced at Doncaster, Ascot, Lingfield or Windsor last time out
8/12 – Had won over 6f before
8/12 – Last ran 4 months or longer ago
8/12 – Rated 102+
7/12 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/12 – Unplaced favourites
6/12 – Had raced at Doncaster before
3/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites
1/12 – Had won at Doncaster before
Jack Dexter won the race in 2013
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Trainer Paul Midgley is just 1 from 65 with his older horses at the track
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Newcastle
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Redcar

TQ VERDICT: Alben Star was a good winner last time out at Lingfield at their Good Friday Meeting just 8 days ago, but a 6lb rise for that and the return to turf mean conditions will be a lot different here. Jack Dexter won the race in 2013 so is another to consider, and will have Ryan Moore in the plate. He’s not getting any younger at 7 years-old, but still looks well-handicapped on old form and has also gone well fresh in the past – looks a big player. However, 11 of the last 12 winners were aged between 4-6 years-old, while 10 of the last 12 carried 10-12 or more in weight. With those two big trends in mind, Mobsta, Shared Equity and Gamesome are interesting, but the standout one on these terms is SUEDOIS. This David O’Meara-trained 5 year-old was last seen running 8th in the Group One Prix de la Foret at Longchamp and was only beaten 5 ½ lengths that day. Therefore, back into Listed grade gives him a huge chance of going in despite a 181 day absence.

3.55 – Betway Doncaster Mile Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m More4
Just 3 previous running
3/3 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
3/3 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
1/3 – Winning favourites
Trainer David O’Meara won the race in 2012
Trainer Roger Varian has a 24% record with his older horses here
Trainer Mick Channon is just 3 from 32 with his older horses here
Jockey Phillip Makin is just 3 from 48 riding older horses here

TQ VERDICT: The David O’Meara camp took this in 2012 so their Custom Cut (Ire) will be trying to follow-up. He’s the joint top-rated in the line-up on an official mark of 117, but has to give 7lbs to the other highest-rated runner – BELARDO (Ire). With that in mind this Godolphin-owned 4 year-old is the clear call. He was last seen running the classy French horse – Solow – to ¾ lengths in the QEII Stakes at Ascot on Champions Day and with a that being a Group One race then should find this Listed grade a lot more to his liking – should be hard to beat. Of the rest, the John Gosden-trained Muwaary could be the forgotten horse in the race after 628 days off, but, therefore, might just need the outing to blow away the cobwebs.

4.30 – Betway Brocklesby Conditions Stakes (Plus 10 Race) Cl4 5f More4
8/10 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Foaled in Feb or March
8/10 – Won this on their debut runs
6/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Horses from stall 2 that finished 1st or 2nd
5/10 – Ridden by a claimer
4/10 – Trained by Bill Turner (2006, 2008, 2011 & 2013)
4/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winners from stall 2
2/10 – Winners from stall 10
2/10 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/10 – Winning favourites (co & joint)
0/10 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1
Jockey Frankie Dettori has a 25% record riding 2 year-olds here
Jockey Graham Lee is just 1 from 40 riding 2 year-olds here
Note: 2006 running was staged at Redcar, 2007 running was staged at Newcastle

TQ VERDICT: Not a lot to go on here for this early season 2 year-old race. The contest has been given a bit of added spice and a nice sub-plot this year with the US-trained Create A Dream (USA) coming over from the Wesley Ward team – Frankie Dettori rides, and is sure to be popular – Frankie has a decent 25% record riding juveniles at the track too. These US sprinters can often blast out of the stalls and be hard to catch so is certainly worth noting in the market. The other trends to take into account ahead of this race are that jockey Graham Lee is just 1 from 40 riding 2 year-olds here so his mount Paisley Abbey is overlooked. While, in contrast, the Bill Turner team love to win the race – they’ve won it in 2006, 2008, 2011 and 2013. With that in mind – their unraced CRUCIAL MOMENT should go well, especially with jockey Ryan While claiming 5lbs – he rode the winner for the yard in 2013.